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Red92
680045.9
752226.0
880821.8
Blue36
857617.0
543119.0
41817.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions927302040601001201401609236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.8
40.641.3
Auto12.2
Teleop29.2
End4.4
red by 26.9
5431
#18
19.02.3
25.723.4
Auto6.6
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Second
7522
#14
26.00.8
17.718.5
Auto12.4
Teleop13.9
End-0.3
red by 8.7
418
#32
17.32.3
21.118.8
Auto9.3
Teleop7.6
End0.3
Third
21.80.8
22.423.1
Auto11.2
Teleop9.6
End1.0
red by 4.8
8576
#41
17.02.3
21.919.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed