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Red41
45617.9
74928.3
99859.5
Blue47
582915.2
25877.6
637716.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344701001504147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#27
17.90.4
17.918.3
Auto6.2
Teleop10.7
End1.0
red by 1.0
6377
#25
16.80.2
17.717.4
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End0.4
Second
9985
#30
9.50.6
8.49.0
Auto6.8
Teleop1.2
End1.4
blue by 5.7
5829
#28
15.20.2
15.415.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End0.3
Third
7492
#38
8.30.4
8.48.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End0.1
red by 0.7
2587
#37
7.60.2
7.47.2
Auto4.7
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed