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Red99
912827.3
384744.4
543119.0
Blue63
947824.5
837018.2
999817.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1214401001502009963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.41.4
48.547.1
Auto14.6
Teleop26.0
End3.9
red by 19.9
24.50.9
21.822.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.2
End2.3
Second
9128
#21
27.31.4
27.926.6
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.9
red by 9.1
8370
#12
18.20.9
13.814.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End0.9
Third
5431
#18
19.01.4
23.321.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.5
End0.8
red by 1.6
9998
#16
17.31.3
13.815.1
Auto4.8
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
67%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed