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Red56
41817.3
541710.9
433621.0
Blue103
463917.5
837018.2
11837.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46770206010012014016056103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#24
21.00.4
19.419.9
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End1.7
blue by 16.3
118
#2
37.42.2
35.437.6
Auto9.3
Teleop22.6
End5.5
Second
418
#32
17.30.4
16.817.3
Auto9.3
Teleop7.6
End0.3
blue by 0.9
8370
#12
18.22.2
14.816.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End0.9
Third
5417
#20
10.90.4
9.09.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End0.4
blue by 6.6
4639
#23
17.52.2
15.417.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed61%Ensemble oddsEarned