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Red70
147738.2
541421.0
589215.3
Blue55
542719.9
912827.3
12554.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865001001507055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#10
38.20.2
36.536.3
Auto15.8
Teleop18.5
End3.9
red by 10.9
9128
#21
27.30.4
26.627.0
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.9
Second
5414
#17
21.00.2
21.221.0
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End0.9
red by 1.1
5427
#15
19.90.4
18.518.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End2.4
Third
5892
#36
15.30.2
15.515.3
Auto8.8
Teleop4.8
End1.7
red by 10.8
1255
#40
4.50.4
4.14.5
Auto2.4
Teleop0.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed