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Red57
851523.6
12554.5
880821.8
Blue31
45617.9
975226.4
944811.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions538701001502005731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.3
18.718.4
Auto11.4
Teleop11.8
End0.5
blue by 2.8
9752
#31
26.43.6
37.934.4
Auto6.4
Teleop19.2
End0.9
Second
21.80.3
25.825.5
Auto11.2
Teleop9.6
End1.0
red by 4.0
456
#27
17.93.6
28.124.5
Auto6.2
Teleop10.7
End1.0
Third
1255
#40
4.50.3
7.16.8
Auto2.4
Teleop0.7
End1.5
blue by 7.3
9448
#19
11.83.6
8.34.8
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed80%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed