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Red46
62424.3
25877.6
941827.7
Blue93
300546.6
636921.5
147738.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761400501002002504693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9418
#22
27.72.4
31.028.6
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End1.5
blue by 18.9
46.62.1
57.355.3
Auto17.1
Teleop27.2
End2.3
Second
624
#34
24.32.4
33.731.3
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End0.9
blue by 13.9
1477
#10
38.22.1
36.634.6
Auto15.8
Teleop18.5
End3.9
Third
2587
#37
7.62.4
11.28.9
Auto4.7
Teleop1.9
End1.0
blue by 13.9
6369
#13
21.52.1
24.922.8
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed51%Ensemble oddsMissed