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Red139
62424.3
542719.9
680045.9
Blue84
999817.3
837018.2
147738.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1017705015020013984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.7
45.346.0
Auto12.2
Teleop29.2
End4.4
red by 7.7
1477
#10
38.20.2
38.038.2
Auto15.8
Teleop18.5
End3.9
Second
624
#34
24.30.7
23.724.4
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End0.9
red by 6.1
8370
#12
18.20.2
18.018.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End0.9
Third
5427
#15
19.90.7
19.320.1
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End2.4
red by 2.6
9998
#16
17.30.2
17.117.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.5
End0.0