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Red77
752226.0
541710.9
32324.6
Blue96
947824.5
288125.8
912827.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63900501502002507796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7522
#14
26.00.4
25.626.0
Auto12.4
Teleop13.9
End-0.3
blue by 1.3
9128
#21
27.30.4
27.227.6
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.9
Second
323
#5
24.60.4
24.324.6
Auto5.6
Teleop17.3
End1.7
blue by 1.2
2881
#11
25.80.4
25.826.2
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Third
5417
#20
10.90.4
10.510.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End0.4
blue by 13.6
24.50.4
24.524.9
Auto8.0
Teleop14.2
End2.3