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Red108
147738.2
837018.2
999817.3
Blue87
851523.6
941827.7
975226.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768705015020025030010887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#10
38.20.8
37.138.0
Auto15.8
Teleop18.5
End3.9
red by 10.4
9418
#22
27.70.2
27.527.7
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End1.5
Second
8370
#12
18.20.8
17.218.0
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End0.9
blue by 8.2
9752
#31
26.40.2
26.226.4
Auto6.4
Teleop19.2
End0.9
Third
9998
#16
17.31.0
16.117.1
Auto4.8
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 6.3
23.60.2
23.423.6
Auto11.4
Teleop11.8
End0.5