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Red86
32419.7
880821.8
637716.8
Blue91
947824.5
288125.8
912827.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions598902040801001201401608691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.7
21.221.8
Auto11.2
Teleop9.6
End1.0
blue by 5.4
9128
#21
27.30.3
26.927.2
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.9
Second
324
#33
19.70.7
19.019.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End0.5
blue by 6.1
2881
#11
25.80.3
25.425.8
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Third
6377
#25
16.80.7
16.216.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End0.4
blue by 7.7
24.50.3
24.224.5
Auto8.0
Teleop14.2
End2.3