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Red31
857620.5
589215.2
12558.1
Blue37
87696.0
35268.7
11828.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38630501001503137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8576
#15
20.50.4
17.016.6
Auto6.6
Teleop13.1
End0.8
blue by 7.8
118
#3
28.31.1
29.728.6
Auto9.3
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Second
5892
#29
15.20.4
15.314.9
Auto10.7
Teleop2.4
End2.2
red by 6.5
3526
#33
8.71.1
14.012.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.1
End0.3
Third
1255
#13
8.10.4
4.54.1
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End2.4
red by 2.2
8769
#36
6.01.1
10.08.9
Auto3.3
Teleop0.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed