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Red79
258710.9
271428.5
817716.7
Blue23
463912.2
373517.0
999911.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6143020801001201407923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.51.7
28.129.8
Auto12.2
Teleop15.2
End1.1
red by 11.5
3735
#31
17.01.7
22.721.0
Auto7.7
Teleop8.4
End0.9
Second
8177
#23
16.71.7
17.619.3
Auto6.8
Teleop9.6
End0.4
red by 4.5
4639
#28
12.21.7
17.515.8
Auto2.9
Teleop8.3
End1.0
Third
2587
#24
10.91.7
7.69.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.8
End0.8
blue by 0.5
9999
#25
11.32.9
8.45.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed