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Red59
384735.2
999911.3
999814.4
Blue65
32420.1
11828.3
837018.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507702040601001201401605965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#12
35.20.2
43.943.6
Auto13.5
Teleop17.8
End4.0
red by 6.9
118
#3
28.31.4
28.627.2
Auto9.3
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Second
9998
#21
14.40.4
8.27.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End0.8
blue by 5.8
324
#27
20.11.4
19.418.0
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End0.4
Third
9999
#25
11.30.4
5.55.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End1.6
blue by 7.2
8370
#17
18.51.4
17.616.3
Auto6.4
Teleop11.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed