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Red68
742131.4
664723.1
62434.1
Blue66
463533.7
601728.9
147731.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791100501001502006866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
34.10.5
25.424.9
Auto10.2
Teleop21.9
End2.0
red by 0.4
33.72.0
32.430.4
Auto10.1
Teleop22.7
End1.0
Second
31.40.5
24.724.2
Auto7.7
Teleop22.4
End1.3
blue by 0.5
1477
#16
31.92.0
36.534.5
Auto13.1
Teleop15.2
End3.6
Third
6647
#37
23.10.5
25.224.7
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End1.2
blue by 5.8
28.92.0
27.025.0
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed