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Red63
35268.7
941825.1
582915.4
Blue14
28826.6
635717.9
87696.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66290204060801001206314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9418
#20
25.10.5
27.428.0
Auto10.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
red by 7.2
17.91.2
15.314.1
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End1.4
Second
5829
#14
15.40.5
14.815.3
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End0.8
red by 8.8
2882
#35
6.61.2
5.94.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Third
3526
#33
8.70.5
12.913.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.1
End0.3
red by 2.7
8769
#36
6.01.2
8.97.7
Auto3.3
Teleop0.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed