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Red43
45871.6
769110.8
857620.5
Blue34
541421.7
42953.6
373517.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374601001504334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8576
#15
20.50.1
17.417.3
Auto6.6
Teleop13.1
End0.8
blue by 1.2
5414
#26
21.70.4
19.419.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Second
7691
#32
10.80.1
11.411.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End1.9
blue by 6.2
3735
#31
17.00.4
19.318.9
Auto7.7
Teleop8.4
End0.9
Third
4587
#40
1.60.1
5.65.5
Auto2.5
Teleop-1.3
End0.4
blue by 2.0
4295
#38
3.60.4
1.20.8
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed