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Red71
384735.2
258710.9
23124.3
Blue20
851519.6
91371.3
837018.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions983602060801201401607120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#12Sur
35.22.3
43.641.4
Auto13.5
Teleop17.8
End4.0
red by 15.6
8515
#19Sur
19.61.3
20.619.3
Auto9.1
Teleop9.5
End1.0
Second
231
#11
24.32.3
27.825.5
Auto3.6
Teleop16.1
End4.6
red by 5.8
8370
#17
18.51.3
16.315.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.2
End0.8
Third
2587
#24
10.92.3
9.47.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.8
End0.8
red by 9.5
9137
#39
1.31.3
2.71.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop1.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
65%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed