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Red103
999911.3
542722.1
11828.3
Blue84
664723.1
463533.7
91819.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4878020406010012014016010384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#3
28.31.4
27.228.6
Auto9.3
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 5.4
33.70.8
30.431.2
Auto10.1
Teleop22.7
End1.0
Second
5427
#22
22.11.4
19.520.9
Auto7.8
Teleop12.1
End2.2
blue by 1.0
6647
#37
23.10.8
24.725.5
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End1.2
Third
9999
#25
11.32.4
5.27.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End1.6
red by 1.9
9181
#34
9.50.8
12.112.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed