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Red49
147731.9
32420.1
35268.7
Blue69
947827.6
288128.8
999814.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7658020401001201401604969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#16
31.91.1
34.533.4
Auto13.1
Teleop15.2
End3.6
red by 3.0
2881
#10
28.80.2
24.724.9
Auto12.0
Teleop14.9
End1.9
Second
324
#27
20.11.1
18.016.9
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End0.4
blue by 7.5
27.60.2
23.924.1
Auto11.2
Teleop14.4
End2.0
Third
3526
#33
8.71.1
13.412.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.1
End0.3
blue by 5.7
9998
#21
14.40.3
7.88.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsEarned