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Red38
999911.3
42953.6
635717.9
Blue61
817716.7
463533.7
87696.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206804060801001201403861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.1
16.616.7
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End1.4
blue by 15.8
33.70.4
30.731.1
Auto10.1
Teleop22.7
End1.0
Second
9999
#25
11.30.2
11.711.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End1.6
blue by 5.4
8177
#23
16.70.4
18.318.7
Auto6.8
Teleop9.6
End0.4
Third
4295
#38
3.60.1
1.21.3
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End1.7
blue by 2.4
8769
#36
6.00.4
6.26.6
Auto3.3
Teleop0.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed