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Red80
62434.1
258710.9
542722.1
Blue89
91371.3
742131.4
288128.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616055657075808089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
34.11.4
28.830.1
Auto10.2
Teleop21.9
End2.0
red by 2.7
31.41.0
27.028.0
Auto7.7
Teleop22.4
End1.3
Second
5427
#22
22.11.4
19.921.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.1
End2.2
blue by 6.7
2881
#10
28.81.0
26.827.9
Auto12.0
Teleop14.9
End1.9
Third
2587
#24
10.91.4
5.97.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.8
End0.8
red by 9.5
9137
#39
1.31.0
-0.40.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop1.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsEarned