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Red46
582915.4
91819.5
947827.6
Blue46
664723.1
941825.1
857620.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507802040601001201404646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.6
Auto11.2
Teleop14.4
End2.0
red by 2.5
9418
#20
25.1
Auto10.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Second
5829
#14
15.4
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End0.8
blue by 7.6
6647
#37
23.1
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End1.2
Third
9181
#34
9.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End3.7
blue by 11.1
8576
#15
20.5
Auto6.6
Teleop13.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed