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Red69
837018.5
258227.2
914032.9
Blue81
28826.6
147731.9
271428.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777040601001206981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.0
27.727.7
Auto10.8
Teleop21.2
End1.0
red by 1.1
1477
#16
31.90.5
31.632.1
Auto13.1
Teleop15.2
End3.6
Second
2582
#18
27.20.0
24.524.5
Auto9.2
Teleop14.9
End3.1
blue by 1.3
28.50.5
27.127.5
Auto12.2
Teleop15.2
End1.1
Third
8370
#17
18.50.0
16.916.9
Auto6.4
Teleop11.2
End0.8
red by 11.9
2882
#35
6.60.5
5.45.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed