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Red66
11828.3
851519.6
463533.7
Blue51
589215.2
45871.6
23124.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96340501506651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.9
31.130.2
Auto10.1
Teleop22.7
End1.0
red by 9.4
231
#11
24.30.5
23.323.8
Auto3.6
Teleop16.1
End4.6
Second
118
#3
28.30.9
27.726.8
Auto9.3
Teleop15.7
End3.4
red by 13.1
5892
#29
15.20.5
12.412.9
Auto10.7
Teleop2.4
End2.2
Third
8515
#19
19.60.9
20.319.4
Auto9.1
Teleop9.5
End1.0
red by 18.0
4587
#40
1.60.5
2.63.1
Auto2.5
Teleop-1.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed