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Red53
42953.6
271428.5
542722.1
Blue66
769110.8
582915.4
147731.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546901001502005366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.2
27.527.7
Auto12.2
Teleop15.2
End1.1
blue by 3.4
1477
#16
31.90.6
32.131.4
Auto13.1
Teleop15.2
End3.6
Second
5427
#22
22.10.2
21.321.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.1
End2.2
red by 6.7
5829
#14
15.40.6
16.515.9
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End0.8
Third
4295
#38
3.60.2
1.31.5
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End1.7
blue by 7.2
7691
#32
10.80.6
11.911.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned