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Red73
541421.7
12558.1
837018.5
Blue51
45871.6
851519.6
288128.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4358020801001201407351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#26
21.71.1
18.719.8
Auto9.0
Teleop12.0
End0.7
blue by 7.1
2881
#10
28.80.3
27.927.6
Auto12.0
Teleop14.9
End1.9
Second
8370
#17
18.51.1
16.918.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.2
End0.8
blue by 1.1
8515
#19
19.60.3
19.419.1
Auto9.1
Teleop9.5
End1.0
Third
1255
#13
8.11.1
5.36.4
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End2.4
red by 6.5
4587
#40
1.60.3
3.12.8
Auto2.5
Teleop-1.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed