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Red59
941825.1
999911.3
23124.3
Blue69
914032.9
12558.1
42953.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68340204060801001205969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9418
#20
25.10.3
26.726.4
Auto10.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
blue by 7.8
32.92.3
26.428.7
Auto10.8
Teleop21.2
End1.0
Second
231
#11
24.30.3
23.823.5
Auto3.6
Teleop16.1
End4.6
red by 16.2
1255
#13
8.12.3
6.48.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End2.4
Third
9999
#25
11.30.4
12.512.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End1.6
red by 7.7
4295
#38
3.62.3
1.53.8
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed