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Red45
11828.3
28826.6
91819.5
Blue38
258710.9
541421.7
74929.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503702060801001201404538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#3
28.30.2
28.027.8
Auto9.3
Teleop15.7
End3.4
red by 6.6
5414
#26
21.70.2
19.820.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Second
9181
#34
9.50.2
8.28.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End3.7
blue by 1.4
2587
#24
10.90.2
8.68.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Third
2882
#35
6.60.2
7.16.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 3.2
7492
#30
9.90.2
6.46.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
2%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed