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Red69
837018.5
589215.2
463533.7
Blue81
32420.1
635717.9
463912.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72510204060801001201406981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.4
30.230.7
Auto10.1
Teleop22.7
End1.0
red by 13.6
324
#27
20.10.8
18.319.1
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End0.4
Second
8370
#17
18.50.4
18.018.4
Auto6.4
Teleop11.2
End0.8
red by 0.6
17.90.8
16.917.7
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End1.4
Third
5892
#29
15.20.4
14.114.6
Auto10.7
Teleop2.4
End2.2
red by 3.1
4639
#28
12.20.8
11.712.5
Auto2.9
Teleop8.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned