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Red25
769110.8
28826.6
42953.6
Blue76
941825.1
11828.3
384735.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111120501001502002576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7691
#32
10.80.2
10.710.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End1.9
blue by 24.4
3847
#12
35.21.5
34.633.0
Auto13.5
Teleop17.8
End4.0
Second
2882
#35
6.60.2
6.96.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 21.7
118
#3
28.31.5
27.826.3
Auto9.3
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Third
4295
#38
3.60.2
3.83.6
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End1.7
blue by 21.5
9418
#20
25.11.5
26.424.9
Auto10.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
1%Melody oddsMissed76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed56%Ensemble oddsEarned