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Red58
258710.9
91819.5
32420.1
Blue74
635717.9
62434.1
589215.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3576020601001201401605874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#27
20.11.5
19.120.6
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End0.4
blue by 14.0
624
#1
34.10.7
31.432.1
Auto10.2
Teleop21.9
End2.0
Second
2587
#24
10.91.5
8.910.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.8
End0.8
blue by 7.1
17.90.7
17.718.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End1.4
Third
9181
#34
9.51.5
8.09.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End3.7
blue by 5.8
5892
#29
15.20.7
14.615.2
Auto10.7
Teleop2.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed