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Red108
947827.6
857620.5
914032.9
Blue55
463912.2
837018.5
288128.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77630204010012014016010855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.92.7
28.731.4
Auto10.8
Teleop21.2
End1.0
red by 4.1
2881
#10
28.80.3
26.926.5
Auto12.0
Teleop14.9
End1.9
Second
27.62.7
23.025.7
Auto11.2
Teleop14.4
End2.0
red by 9.1
8370
#17
18.50.3
18.418.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.2
End0.8
Third
8576
#15
20.52.7
16.018.7
Auto6.6
Teleop13.1
End0.8
red by 8.4
4639
#28
12.20.3
12.512.2
Auto2.9
Teleop8.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed