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Red97
542722.1
664723.1
384735.2
Blue46
541421.7
87696.0
851519.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions904202060801001201401609746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#12
35.21.5
33.034.5
Auto13.5
Teleop17.8
End4.0
red by 13.5
5414
#26
21.70.2
20.020.2
Auto9.0
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Second
6647
#37
23.11.5
21.623.1
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End1.2
red by 3.5
8515
#19
19.60.2
17.117.3
Auto9.1
Teleop9.5
End1.0
Third
5427
#22
22.11.5
20.421.9
Auto7.8
Teleop12.1
End2.2
red by 16.2
8769
#36
6.00.2
5.86.0
Auto3.3
Teleop0.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed