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Red81
857620.5
947827.6
258227.2
Blue75
23124.3
941825.1
542722.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837940601001201408175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.1
27.327.4
Auto11.2
Teleop14.4
End2.0
red by 2.5
9418
#20
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto10.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Second
2582
#18
27.20.1
26.927.0
Auto9.2
Teleop14.9
End3.1
red by 2.8
231
#11
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto3.6
Teleop16.1
End4.6
Third
8576
#15
20.50.1
20.220.3
Auto6.6
Teleop13.1
End0.8
blue by 1.6
5427
#22
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto7.8
Teleop12.1
End2.2