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Red117
62434.1
74929.9
11828.3
Blue74
463533.7
999814.4
742131.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758605010015020011774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
34.11.0
32.933.9
Auto10.2
Teleop21.9
End2.0
red by 0.4
33.70.1
33.533.4
Auto10.1
Teleop22.7
End1.0
Second
118
#3
28.31.0
27.128.1
Auto9.3
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 3.1
31.40.1
31.231.1
Auto7.7
Teleop22.4
End1.3
Third
7492
#30
9.91.0
8.79.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End-0.1
blue by 4.5
9998
#21
14.40.1
14.114.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End0.8