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Red89
857620.5
947827.6
258227.2
Blue93
601728.9
851519.6
288128.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8483607080901001101208993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.2
27.427.6
Auto11.2
Teleop14.4
End2.0
blue by 1.3
28.90.1
28.428.3
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Second
2582
#18
27.20.2
27.027.2
Auto9.2
Teleop14.9
End3.1
blue by 1.7
2881
#10
28.80.1
28.328.2
Auto12.0
Teleop14.9
End1.9
Third
8576
#15
20.50.2
20.320.5
Auto6.6
Teleop13.1
End0.8
red by 0.9
8515
#19
19.60.1
19.119.0
Auto9.1
Teleop9.5
End1.0