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Red101
541421.7
817716.7
914032.9
Blue83
32420.1
635717.9
147731.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738105010015020025030010183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.6
31.432.1
Auto10.8
Teleop21.2
End1.0
red by 1.1
1477
#16
31.90.1
32.332.2
Auto13.1
Teleop15.2
End3.6
Second
5414
#26
21.70.6
20.220.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.0
End0.7
red by 1.6
324
#27
20.10.1
20.620.5
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End0.4
Third
8177
#23
16.70.6
15.716.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.6
End0.4
blue by 1.2
17.90.1
18.418.3
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End1.4