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Red116
742131.4
999814.4
463533.7
Blue88
601728.9
288128.8
851519.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79799010011011688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.8
31.932.7
Auto10.1
Teleop22.7
End1.0
red by 4.8
28.90.2
26.626.8
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Second
31.40.8
29.630.4
Auto7.7
Teleop22.4
End1.3
red by 2.6
2881
#10
28.80.2
26.526.7
Auto12.0
Teleop14.9
End1.9
Third
9998
#21
14.41.0
12.113.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End0.8
blue by 5.3
8515
#19
19.60.2
17.317.5
Auto9.1
Teleop9.5
End1.0