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Red87
271428.5
769110.8
384735.2
Blue105
258227.2
947827.6
857620.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817605010015020025030035087105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#12
35.20.3
34.534.8
Auto13.5
Teleop17.8
End4.0
red by 7.6
27.60.7
25.726.4
Auto11.2
Teleop14.4
End2.0
Second
28.50.3
27.828.1
Auto12.2
Teleop15.2
End1.1
red by 1.3
2582
#18
27.20.7
25.326.0
Auto9.2
Teleop14.9
End3.1
Third
7691
#32
10.80.3
10.510.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End1.9
blue by 9.8
8576
#15
20.50.7
18.719.3
Auto6.6
Teleop13.1
End0.8