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Red29
87505.8
913619.3
288123.7
Blue54
367923.3
857314.9
572612.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4341203050602954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.7
14.213.6
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End1.1
red by 0.4
23.31.0
18.419.4
Auto7.8
Teleop15.0
End0.5
Second
9136
#10
19.31.1
14.913.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.8
End2.1
red by 4.4
8573
#12
14.91.0
12.013.0
Auto8.2
Teleop5.1
End1.6
Third
8750
#32DQ
5.81.1
8.27.0
Auto0.3
Teleop5.1
End0.4
blue by 6.3
5726
#23
12.11.0
8.59.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed