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Red19
94444.7
857619.5
29698.4
Blue54
61558.5
86108.0
147733.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364201020305060701954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.51.3
16.014.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.8
End1.5
blue by 14.1
33.70.5
26.026.5
Auto14.1
Teleop16.5
End3.1
Second
2969
#33
8.41.3
8.97.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.8
blue by 0.2
6155
#20
8.50.5
6.36.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Third
9444
#34
4.72.1
8.16.0
Auto3.2
Teleop0.4
End1.0
blue by 3.3
8610
#13
8.00.5
4.85.3
Auto4.8
Teleop2.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned