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Red30
811411.5
45710.0
95248.6
Blue56
761615.2
91816.9
637724.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164804060801003056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8114
#28
11.50.4
5.86.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End1.4
blue by 13.1
6377
#21
24.60.6
19.319.9
Auto9.6
Teleop14.4
End0.7
Second
457
#17
10.00.7
7.38.0
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End0.7
blue by 5.2
7616
#18
15.20.6
12.312.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Third
9524
#35
8.60.4
5.25.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End1.0
red by 1.7
9181
#22
6.91.0
8.19.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed