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Red35
93117.6
905410.3
303513.3
Blue26
32419.2
76214.8
71385.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3428010204050603526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3035
#16
13.30.2
14.013.8
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End0.8
blue by 5.9
324
#8
19.20.0
15.615.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.6
Second
9054
#31
10.30.1
8.98.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End2.6
red by 5.3
7138
#38
5.00.0
2.52.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End1.2
Third
9311
#27
7.60.1
7.27.1
Auto7.1
Teleop-0.4
End0.9
red by 2.8
7621
#40
4.80.0
7.77.7
Auto0.8
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed