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Red44
680030.2
542718.5
96645.5
Blue50
62428.2
572612.1
95776.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513820306070804450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.0
25.725.7
Auto14.1
Teleop15.5
End0.6
red by 2.0
624
#3
28.20.9
21.022.0
Auto10.4
Teleop15.8
End2.0
Second
5427
#15
18.50.1
14.214.2
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End2.0
red by 6.4
5726
#23
12.10.9
7.68.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Third
9664
#41
5.50.0
4.84.7
Auto1.4
Teleop3.6
End0.5
blue by 0.7
9577
#29
6.20.9
7.58.5
Auto0.8
Teleop3.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed