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Red59
421912.2
557222.9
367923.3
Blue58
680030.2
91816.9
356119.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6058505565705958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.3
19.419.8
Auto7.8
Teleop15.0
End0.5
blue by 6.9
30.20.3
26.727.0
Auto14.1
Teleop15.5
End0.6
Second
22.90.3
18.919.3
Auto12.2
Teleop10.4
End0.3
red by 3.7
3561
#11
19.20.3
17.217.5
Auto8.4
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Third
4219
#19
12.20.6
15.616.1
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End2.0
red by 5.3
9181
#22
6.90.6
9.19.7
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed