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Red48
32419.2
90516.2
582911.3
Blue39
637724.6
70889.5
26578.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254704060801004839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#8
19.22.0
15.717.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.6
blue by 5.4
6377
#21
24.60.4
19.919.5
Auto9.6
Teleop14.4
End0.7
Second
5829
#36
11.31.2
7.78.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End0.5
red by 1.8
7088
#30
9.50.7
8.37.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Third
9051
#14
6.21.2
1.93.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.6
End0.0
blue by 2.7
2657
#37
8.90.7
11.811.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed