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Red12
91816.9
87505.8
95776.2
Blue18
71385.0
45710.0
303513.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3033102040501218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9181
#22
6.91.8
10.08.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End2.1
blue by 6.4
3035
#16
13.31.5
15.514.0
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End0.8
Second
9577
#29
6.21.1
8.77.5
Auto0.8
Teleop3.9
End1.5
blue by 3.8
457
#17
10.01.5
8.87.3
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End0.7
Third
8750
#32DQ
5.81.8
10.08.2
Auto0.3
Teleop5.1
End0.4
red by 0.7
7138
#38
5.00.9
3.42.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed