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Red9
76214.8
43283.5
70889.5
Blue38
761615.2
95248.6
32419.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20410103050607080938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7088
#30
9.51.3
9.48.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
blue by 9.7
324
#8
19.20.6
16.315.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.6
Second
7621
#40
4.81.3
9.07.7
Auto0.8
Teleop2.8
End1.2
blue by 10.4
7616
#18
15.20.4
12.712.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Third
4328
#39
3.50.8
2.41.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.9
blue by 5.2
9524
#35
8.60.4
5.65.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed