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Red36
367923.3
70889.5
86108.0
Blue25
95776.2
95248.6
881910.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37260102030506070803625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.1
19.819.9
Auto7.8
Teleop15.0
End0.5
red by 12.6
8819
#25
10.70.8
10.39.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End0.4
Second
7088
#30
9.50.2
7.67.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
red by 0.9
9524
#35
8.60.5
5.75.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Third
8610
#13
8.00.1
4.85.0
Auto4.8
Teleop2.4
End0.8
red by 1.7
9577
#29
6.20.5
9.18.6
Auto0.8
Teleop3.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed